Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Foligno 48.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 54.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 66.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 56.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Backes
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Backes
Foligno
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Backes
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
2
Backes
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
48.3% (2,810)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
52.3% (730)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
44.0% (455)
+3.4%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Backes
Foligno
Home
50.6% (3,936)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Backes
Foligno
P1
50.1%
47.6%
P2
51.5%
50.4%
P3
50.8%
48.3%
OT
42.9%
29.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | David Backes |