Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Spaling 46.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 60.1%
Defensive zone
Spaling 66.9%
Neutral zone
Spaling 62.5%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Backes
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Backes
Spaling
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
3
Backes
Spaling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
3
Backes
Spaling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
48.4% (419)
+6.0%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
30.0% (10)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
32.1% (53)
+8.3%
On power play, Backes has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Spaling is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Backes
Spaling
Home
50.8% (447)
52.2% (251)
Away
53.8% (465)
39.8% (231)
By Period
Backes
Spaling
P1
51.8%
40.6%
P2
53.2%
43.9%
P3
52.8%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |