Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 49.9%). Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Spaling 49.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 27-14 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 52.5%
Defensive zone
Spaling 58.7%
Neutral zone
Spaling 59.7%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Backes
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
27
(41 meetings)
14
27
Backes
Spaling
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
8
8
Backes
Spaling
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
12
Backes
Spaling
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
4
7
Backes
Spaling
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.5% (2,263)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
43.4% (53)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
48.0% (498)
-0.6%
On power play, Backes has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Home / Away
Backes
Spaling
Home
50.6% (3,936)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Backes
Spaling
P1
50.1%
49.8%
P2
51.5%
48.3%
P3
50.8%
52.0%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |