Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Patrick 51.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 58.1%
Defensive zone
Patrick 50.3%
Neutral zone
Patrick 53.3%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Backes
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Backes
Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Backes
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.6% (1,978)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
57.5% (120)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
57.7% (26)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Backes
Patrick
Home
50.6% (3,936)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Backes
Patrick
P1
50.1%
52.9%
P2
51.5%
49.1%
P3
50.8%
51.3%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |