Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Jokinen 46.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 21-4 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 88.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 93.8%
Neutral zone
Backes 87.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Backes
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
4
(25 meetings)
21
4
Backes
Jokinen
Last 10: Backes 10-0 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
7
2
Backes
Jokinen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
12
1
Backes
Jokinen
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
45.3% (1,142)
+6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
53.4% (131)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
43.9% (57)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Jokinen is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Backes
Jokinen
Home
53.3% (599)
48.8% (692)
Away
50.2% (602)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Backes
Jokinen
P1
53.5%
44.9%
P2
50.3%
45.7%
P3
51.5%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |