Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (76% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 39-20 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 74.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 92.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 86.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Backes
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
20
(59 meetings)
39
20
Backes
Jokinen
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
13
9
Backes
Jokinen
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
7
5
Backes
Jokinen
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
19
6
Backes
Jokinen
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
45.8% (3,924)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
50.8% (585)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.9% (247)
+4.5%
On even strength, Backes has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Home / Away
Backes
Jokinen
Home
50.6% (3,936)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Backes
Jokinen
P1
50.1%
45.6%
P2
51.5%
47.5%
P3
50.8%
45.4%
OT
42.9%
56.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | David Backes |