Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.4%). Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Stastny 52.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 52.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 53.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 50.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Backes
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Backes
Stastny
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Backes
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
6
Backes
Stastny
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
5
Backes
Stastny
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
51.0% (588)
+3.4%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
60.6% (104)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
51.7% (89)
-11.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Stastny is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Backes
Stastny
Home
50.8% (447)
54.0% (400)
Away
53.8% (465)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Backes
Stastny
P1
51.8%
57.8%
P2
53.2%
52.5%
P3
52.8%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |