Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 44-30 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 78.3%
Defensive zone
Backes 66.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 70.7%
Result
David Backes favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Backes
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
44
(74 meetings)
30
44
Backes
Stastny
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
11
Backes
Stastny
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
17
Backes
Stastny
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
15
16
Backes
Stastny
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
59.1% (1,994)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
52.9% (1,119)
-5.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Backes
Stastny
Home
50.6% (3,936)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Backes
Stastny
P1
50.1%
56.3%
P2
51.5%
55.4%
P3
50.8%
53.5%
OT
42.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |