Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.0%). Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Umberger 49.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Umberger leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Umberger 73.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 77.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 55.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Backes
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Backes
Umberger
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
2
6
Backes
Umberger
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
2
3
Backes
Umberger
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
5
4
Backes
Umberger
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
50.6% (164)
-1.5%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
49.1% (114)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
40.0% (25)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Umberger is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Backes
Umberger
Home
48.1% (690)
48.8% (166)
Away
49.2% (663)
49.3% (140)
By Period
Backes
Umberger
P1
49.0%
43.7%
P2
50.2%
52.6%
P3
47.5%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |