Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.1%). Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Umberger 50.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Umberger leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Umberger 80.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 72.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 53.7%
Result
R.J. Umberger favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Backes
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Backes
Umberger
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
2
7
Backes
Umberger
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
5
3
Backes
Umberger
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
5
4
Backes
Umberger
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.9% (387)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
49.8% (251)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
46.6% (58)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Umberger is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Backes
Umberger
Home
50.6% (3,936)
52.3% (365)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Backes
Umberger
P1
50.1%
50.0%
P2
51.5%
49.3%
P3
50.8%
50.0%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |