Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Rakell 44.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 87.9%
Defensive zone
Rakell 71.2%
Neutral zone
Rakell 77.9%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Backes
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Backes
Rakell
Last 6: Backes 1-5 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
3
Backes
Rakell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
2
Backes
Rakell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
43.7% (423)
+8.4%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
45.5% (22)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
33.3% (6)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Backes is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Backes shoots right. Rakell is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Backes
Rakell
Home
53.1% (573)
46.1% (180)
Away
51.1% (619)
42.1% (271)
By Period
Backes
Rakell
P1
51.8%
47.7%
P2
52.3%
37.6%
P3
52.6%
46.0%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |