Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Rakell 44.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 86.9%
Defensive zone
Rakell 67.5%
Neutral zone
Rakell 74.1%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Backes
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Backes
Rakell
Last 6: Backes 1-5 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
3
Backes
Rakell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
2
Backes
Rakell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
44.4% (1,864)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
50.3% (197)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
21.7% (23)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Rakell is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Backes
Rakell
Home
50.6% (3,936)
46.7% (1,041)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
42.7% (1,044)
By Period
Backes
Rakell
P1
50.1%
45.6%
P2
51.5%
42.1%
P3
50.8%
46.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |