Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Horak 43.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 83.3%
Defensive zone
Backes 83.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 83.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Backes
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Backes
Horak
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Horak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Horak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Horak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
40.1% (399)
+9.0%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
53.8% (26)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
50.0% (14)
-4.8%
On even strength, Backes has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Horak is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Backes
Horak
Home
48.1% (690)
40.5% (227)
Away
49.2% (663)
42.5% (214)
By Period
Backes
Horak
P1
49.0%
42.3%
P2
50.2%
40.5%
P3
47.5%
41.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | David Backes |