Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Horak 43.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 85.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 82.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 85.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Backes
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Backes
Horak
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Horak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
2
Backes
Horak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Horak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
41.8% (594)
+9.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
51.4% (37)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
57.9% (19)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Horak is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Backes
Horak
Home
50.6% (3,936)
43.7% (325)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Backes
Horak
P1
50.1%
42.4%
P2
51.5%
44.2%
P3
50.8%
42.6%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | David Backes |