Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Crosby 49.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 51.3%
Defensive zone
Backes 91.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 79.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Backes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Backes
Crosby
Last 6: Backes 5-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
1
Backes
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
49.4% (1,194)
+5.1%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
52.6% (350)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
43.4% (53)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Crosby is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Backes
Crosby
Home
55.3% (524)
51.3% (776)
Away
54.0% (606)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Backes
Crosby
P1
53.2%
50.5%
P2
54.2%
51.3%
P3
57.1%
47.8%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |