Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 34-33 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 68.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 73.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 57.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Backes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
34
(67 meetings)
33
34
Backes
Crosby
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
17
Backes
Crosby
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
17
8
Backes
Crosby
25 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Backes
Crosby
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
52.8% (17,990)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
57.4% (4,733)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
47.1% (765)
+0.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Backes
Crosby
Home
50.6% (3,936)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Backes
Crosby
P1
50.1%
53.6%
P2
51.5%
53.9%
P3
50.8%
53.3%
OT
42.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | David Backes |