Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Bozak 52.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 51.2%
Defensive zone
Backes 64.8%
Neutral zone
Backes 60.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Backes
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Backes
Bozak
Last 5: Backes 0-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Backes
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Backes
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
51.7% (913)
-2.6%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
55.9% (211)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
54.9% (51)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backes is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Backes shoots right. Bozak is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Backes
Bozak
Home
48.1% (690)
52.8% (615)
Away
49.2% (663)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Backes
Bozak
P1
49.0%
52.5%
P2
50.2%
51.1%
P3
47.5%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |