Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 22-19 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 55.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 55.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 52.0%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Backes
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
22
(41 meetings)
19
22
Backes
Bozak
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
9
Backes
Bozak
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
11
6
Backes
Bozak
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
7
Backes
Bozak
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
55.2% (1,990)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
48.0% (1,094)
-0.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Backes
Bozak
Home
50.6% (3,936)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Backes
Bozak
P1
50.1%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
52.8%
P3
50.8%
54.5%
OT
42.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | David Backes |