Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Clarkson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Clarkson wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Clarkson 40.8% vs Bailey 45.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 53.6%
Defensive zone
Bailey 89.4%
Neutral zone
Bailey 68.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Clarkson
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Clarkson
Bailey
Last 7: Clarkson 5-2 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Clarkson
5
1
Clarkson
Bailey
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Clarkson
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Clarkson
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (248)
45.8% (1,991)
-9.1%
Power Play
41.4% (169)
48.1% (295)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.9% (281)
+60.1%
On penalty kill, Clarkson has a +60.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Clarkson is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Clarkson shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Clarkson
Bailey
Home
40.0% (190)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
37.6% (229)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Clarkson
Bailey
P1
33.6%
46.5%
P2
37.1%
44.8%
P3
45.7%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
35.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Clarkson
28.0%▼
35.5%
38.7%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | David Clarkson |