Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.8% vs Vitale 59.5% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 50.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 85.2%
Neutral zone
Vitale 59.0%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Desharnais
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Desharnais
Vitale
Last 6: Desharnais 4-2 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
0
Desharnais
Vitale
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
1
Desharnais
Vitale
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
1
Desharnais
Vitale
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (973)
61.7% (274)
-11.6%
Power Play
57.9% (202)
75.0% (4)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
66.7% (42)
-40.8%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +40.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Desharnais is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Desharnais shoots left. Vitale is 63.8% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Vitale
Home
52.7% (592)
69.7% (152)
Away
49.0% (610)
56.0% (168)
By Period
Desharnais
Vitale
P1
52.2%
55.9%
P2
52.5%
65.2%
P3
47.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
68.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.8%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | David Desharnais |