Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.9% vs Vitale 54.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Desharnais leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 74.5%
Defensive zone
Vitale 84.0%
Neutral zone
Vitale 51.8%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Desharnais
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Desharnais
Vitale
Last 10: Desharnais 5-5 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
8
1
Desharnais
Vitale
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
6
Desharnais
Vitale
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
4
3
Desharnais
Vitale
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (5,585)
55.9% (1,771)
-6.0%
Power Play
58.2% (1,058)
76.0% (25)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (128)
47.1% (297)
-8.0%
On power play, Vitale has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Desharnais is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Desharnais shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Vitale
Home
52.0% (3,426)
56.1% (1,050)
Away
49.9% (3,381)
53.5% (1,048)
By Period
Desharnais
Vitale
P1
51.1%
52.9%
P2
53.1%
53.8%
P3
48.5%
57.5%
OT
51.2%
72.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.9%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |