Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.9% vs Hertl 51.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 56.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 61.7%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 52.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Desharnais
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Desharnais
Hertl
Last 5: Desharnais 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Desharnais
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Desharnais
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
0
Desharnais
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (304)
50.4% (367)
+1.9%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
64.6% (48)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.2% (59)
-49.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Desharnais is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Desharnais shoots left. Hertl is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Hertl
Home
52.3% (195)
50.9% (220)
Away
49.6% (137)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Desharnais
Hertl
P1
56.2%
52.7%
P2
46.1%
52.8%
P3
53.3%
49.7%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
51.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | David Desharnais |