David Desharnais vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.9% vs Hertl 54.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 56.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 78.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 65.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Desharnais
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Desharnais
Hertl
Last 9: Desharnais 6-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
1
Desharnais
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Desharnais
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
3
0
Desharnais
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (5,585)
53.8% (8,268)
-3.9%
Power Play
58.2% (1,058)
59.3% (1,975)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (128)
46.3% (806)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Desharnais is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,268).
Desharnais shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Hertl
Home
52.0% (3,426)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
49.9% (3,381)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Desharnais
Hertl
P1
51.1%
53.6%
P2
53.1%
54.1%
P3
48.5%
55.3%
OT
51.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 23, 2017 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | David Desharnais |