Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.6%). Look for Gustafsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 53.1% vs Beecher 53.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gustafsson 70.6%
Defensive zone
Beecher 68.1%
Neutral zone
Beecher 57.3%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Gustafsson
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gustafsson
Beecher
Last 5: Gustafsson 3-2 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
2
1
Gustafsson
Beecher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gustafsson
Beecher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (174)
56.2% (388)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
49.1% (110)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Beecher has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Gustafsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Gustafsson shoots left. Beecher is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Beecher
Home
51.5% (103)
51.5% (196)
Away
58.2% (91)
56.6% (304)
By Period
Gustafsson
Beecher
P1
60.0%
58.6%
P2
58.9%
49.0%
P3
47.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
57.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
54.6%
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | John Beecher |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | David Gustafsson |