Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.5%). Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 51.1% vs Eller 50.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 54.0%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 59.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.5%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Gustafsson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Gustafsson
Eller
Last 10: Gustafsson 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Gustafsson
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gustafsson
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
2
0
Gustafsson
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (623)
51.0% (10,168)
+1.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
52.8% (621)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
46.7% (1,740)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gustafsson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Gustafsson shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,010).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Eller
Home
52.1% (363)
51.4% (6,057)
Away
50.3% (326)
49.7% (6,500)
By Period
Gustafsson
Eller
P1
57.7%
51.2%
P2
45.8%
50.0%
P3
50.2%
50.2%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
51.2%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | David Gustafsson |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |