Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 50.0% vs Eller 51.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 63.2%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 62.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Gustafsson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gustafsson
Eller
Last 5: Gustafsson 3-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Gustafsson
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
2
0
Gustafsson
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (180)
52.8% (650)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
45.5% (88)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gustafsson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Gustafsson shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Eller
Home
52.9% (104)
52.6% (340)
Away
46.8% (94)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Gustafsson
Eller
P1
57.1%
52.4%
P2
41.3%
54.1%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | David Gustafsson |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |