Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 50.0% vs Acciari 53.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gustafsson 73.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 50.6%
Neutral zone
Gustafsson 52.9%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Gustafsson
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gustafsson
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Gustafsson
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Gustafsson
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (180)
56.7% (393)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
48.0% (202)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Gustafsson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Gustafsson shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Acciari
Home
52.9% (104)
54.5% (279)
Away
46.8% (94)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Gustafsson
Acciari
P1
57.1%
56.9%
P2
41.3%
51.4%
P3
51.4%
53.2%
Final 5 min
45.6%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |