Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gustafsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 53.1% vs Krebs 46.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gustafsson 57.8%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 74.5%
Neutral zone
Gustafsson 56.2%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Gustafsson
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gustafsson
Krebs
Last 5: Gustafsson 3-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Gustafsson
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
3
0
Gustafsson
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Gustafsson
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (174)
47.2% (542)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
31.3% (48)
+8.7%
On even strength, Gustafsson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Gustafsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Gustafsson shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Krebs
Home
51.5% (103)
45.5% (312)
Away
58.2% (91)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Gustafsson
Krebs
P1
60.0%
46.6%
P2
58.9%
42.7%
P3
47.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
54.6%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |