Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 53.1% vs McLeod 50.7% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.0%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 64.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Gustafsson
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (174)
51.3% (628)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
30.6% (49)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Gustafsson has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Gustafsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Gustafsson shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
McLeod
Home
51.5% (103)
51.5% (394)
Away
58.2% (91)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Gustafsson
McLeod
P1
60.0%
51.5%
P2
58.9%
47.0%
P3
47.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
54.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%