Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 52.1%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.0% vs Hayes 51.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.0%
Defensive zone
Kampf 80.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Kampf
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kampf
Hayes
Last 8: Kampf 2-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
5
Kampf
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
2
0
Kampf
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Kampf
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (405)
51.6% (386)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.2% (47)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
60.0% (20)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kampf is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Kampf shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Kampf
Hayes
Home
49.8% (269)
50.5% (200)
Away
52.6% (274)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Kampf
Hayes
P1
50.5%
58.8%
P2
53.8%
49.3%
P3
48.6%
48.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |