Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kampf on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kampf wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 52.3% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 54.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 50.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Kampf
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kampf
Stenlund
Last 5: Kampf 4-1 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
3
0
Kampf
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kampf
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (450)
56.1% (615)
-1.9%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
53.2% (47)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
52.1% (307)
-5.2%
On power play, Stenlund has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kampf is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Kampf shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Kampf
Stenlund
Home
57.3% (262)
57.0% (458)
Away
48.4% (277)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Kampf
Stenlund
P1
52.4%
55.1%
P2
54.7%
53.3%
P3
49.4%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
46.6%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.7%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | David Kampf |