Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kampf on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kampf wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.0% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 60.4%
Defensive zone
Kampf 57.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 61.9%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Kampf
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kampf
Kastelic
Last 7: Kampf 4-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Kampf
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
2
1
Kampf
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
2
1
Kampf
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (405)
55.4% (345)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
35.3% (17)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Kampf has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kampf is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Kampf shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Kampf
Kastelic
Home
49.8% (269)
50.6% (162)
Away
52.6% (274)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Kampf
Kastelic
P1
50.5%
61.5%
P2
53.8%
52.8%
P3
48.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | David Kampf |