Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Kampf wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 52.3% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 77.6%
Defensive zone
Kampf 83.0%
Neutral zone
Kampf 58.5%
Result
David Kampf favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Kampf
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kampf
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Kampf
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
2
0
Kampf
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (450)
50.0% (992)
+4.2%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
64.9% (148)
-39.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
34.4% (32)
+12.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kampf is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Kampf shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Kampf
MacKinnon
Home
57.3% (262)
53.3% (591)
Away
48.4% (277)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Kampf
MacKinnon
P1
52.4%
49.9%
P2
54.7%
53.2%
P3
49.4%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | David Kampf |