Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Kampf wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 51.0% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 80.7%
Defensive zone
Kampf 81.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Kampf
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kampf
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Kampf
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (405)
49.2% (1,266)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
54.9% (193)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
49.1% (55)
-1.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kampf is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Kampf shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Kampf
MacKinnon
Home
49.8% (269)
50.9% (740)
Away
52.6% (274)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Kampf
MacKinnon
P1
50.5%
50.9%
P2
53.8%
51.8%
P3
48.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | David Kampf |