Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 52.3% vs Cates 45.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 72.2%
Defensive zone
Kampf 72.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Kampf
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kampf
Cates
Last 6: Kampf 3-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
3
Kampf
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
2
0
Kampf
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (450)
45.4% (712)
+8.8%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
42.2% (102)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
44.7% (47)
+2.2%
On power play, Cates has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Kampf is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Kampf shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Kampf
Cates
Home
57.3% (262)
46.3% (423)
Away
48.4% (277)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Kampf
Cates
P1
52.4%
46.3%
P2
54.7%
47.1%
P3
49.4%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
46.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Kampf |