Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 50.8% vs Aho 53.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 83.9%
Defensive zone
Kampf 89.5%
Neutral zone
Kampf 58.5%
Result
David Kampf favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Kampf
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kampf
Aho
Last 8: Kampf 3-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Kampf
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
3
1
Kampf
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (610)
51.2% (785)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
63.8% (213)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (299)
57.9% (57)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kampf is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Kampf shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Kampf
Aho
Home
47.5% (400)
54.9% (548)
Away
53.4% (522)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Kampf
Aho
P1
57.3%
52.8%
P2
47.4%
58.9%
P3
49.3%
50.6%
OT
29.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |