Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Krejci 51.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 82.2%
Defensive zone
Krejci 63.3%
Neutral zone
Krejci 58.3%
Result
David Krejci favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
O'Reilly
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
O'Reilly
Krejci
Last 6: O'Reilly 4-2 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
O'Reilly
Krejci
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
O'Reilly
Krejci
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
0
O'Reilly
Krejci
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
52.0% (835)
-7.5%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
53.4% (163)
-5.1%
On even strength, Krejci has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. O'Reilly is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (89).
O'Reilly shoots left. Krejci is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Krejci
Home
50.9% (112)
56.8% (525)
Away
40.4% (156)
47.3% (520)
By Period
O'Reilly
Krejci
P1
56.5%
51.4%
P2
40.4%
57.5%
P3
36.3%
46.8%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
35.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | David Krejci |