Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.8% vs Stepan 39.9% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 60.0%
Defensive zone
Krejci 59.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Krejci
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Krejci
Stepan
Last 5: Krejci 2-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Krejci
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Krejci
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (872)
38.6% (630)
+10.5%
Power Play
46.3% (177)
45.3% (64)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
22.7% (22)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Krejci is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Krejci shoots right. Stepan is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stepan
Home
49.7% (557)
39.0% (364)
Away
47.8% (592)
38.0% (355)
By Period
Krejci
Stepan
P1
47.4%
39.4%
P2
49.5%
40.6%
P3
48.1%
36.4%
OT
64.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2011 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |