Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Stepan 46.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 56-50 in 106 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 57.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 65.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 63.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Krejci
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
56
(106 meetings)
50
56
Krejci
Stepan
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
15
15
Krejci
Stepan
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
11
16
Krejci
Stepan
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
24
25
Krejci
Stepan
49 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
46.5% (10,204)
+4.1%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
48.8% (1,593)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
44.2% (1,368)
+4.6%
On power play, Krejci has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Krejci is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,561).
Krejci shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stepan
Home
53.1% (5,660)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Krejci
Stepan
P1
50.7%
47.5%
P2
51.8%
45.6%
P3
50.2%
46.8%
OT
53.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |