Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Krejci wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.9% vs Stepan 45.1% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 81.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 72.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Krejci
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Krejci
Stepan
Last 10: Krejci 2-8 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Krejci
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Krejci
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
4
Krejci
Stepan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (835)
44.9% (680)
+7.1%
Power Play
53.4% (163)
50.8% (118)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
29.8% (57)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Krejci is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Krejci shoots right. Stepan is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stepan
Home
56.8% (525)
45.6% (463)
Away
47.3% (520)
43.3% (404)
By Period
Krejci
Stepan
P1
51.4%
50.2%
P2
57.5%
39.4%
P3
46.8%
45.7%
OT
60.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
52.1%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |