Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 48.3%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Cozens 48.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 56.3%
Defensive zone
Cozens 51.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 50.7%
Result
David Krejci favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Krejci
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Krejci
Cozens
Last 7: Krejci 3-4 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
3
Krejci
Cozens
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
49.4% (859)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
49.5% (186)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
39.5% (129)
-4.2%
On power play, Krejci has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Krejci is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Krejci shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Krejci
Cozens
Home
52.0% (381)
49.0% (600)
Away
42.6% (359)
47.6% (574)
By Period
Krejci
Cozens
P1
47.2%
46.5%
P2
43.7%
52.9%
P3
51.9%
45.2%
OT
40.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | David Krejci |