Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Krejci wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.9% vs Malkin 47.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 66.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 55.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 60.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Krejci
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Krejci
Malkin
Last 8: Krejci 3-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
1
Krejci
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
4
Krejci
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (835)
46.4% (922)
+5.6%
Power Play
53.4% (163)
52.7% (262)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
22.2% (9)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Krejci is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Krejci shoots right. Malkin is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Krejci
Malkin
Home
56.8% (525)
52.4% (601)
Away
47.3% (520)
42.7% (609)
By Period
Krejci
Malkin
P1
51.4%
48.8%
P2
57.5%
50.6%
P3
46.8%
41.6%
OT
60.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
52.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | David Krejci |