Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Malkin 49.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 69.2%
Defensive zone
Krejci 58.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Krejci
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Krejci
Malkin
Last 9: Krejci 5-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Krejci
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
0
Krejci
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Krejci
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
49.0% (811)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
55.8% (43)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
50.0% (2)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Krejci
Malkin
Home
52.0% (381)
52.3% (438)
Away
42.6% (359)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Krejci
Malkin
P1
47.2%
51.3%
P2
43.7%
50.8%
P3
51.9%
45.0%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | David Krejci |