Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.1% vs Thornton 55.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 69.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 87.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 85.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 79.5%
20.5%
79.5%
Krejci
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Krejci
Thornton
Last 7: Krejci 7-0 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
0
Krejci
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
0
Krejci
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,019)
55.1% (836)
-5.1%
Power Play
63.1% (130)
60.8% (181)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
56.1% (82)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Krejci is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (789).
Krejci shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Krejci
Thornton
Home
53.7% (648)
60.4% (528)
Away
48.2% (560)
52.2% (571)
By Period
Krejci
Thornton
P1
50.4%
58.1%
P2
50.6%
55.3%
P3
52.6%
55.0%
OT
50.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | David Krejci |