Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Thornton 54.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Krejci leads 29-17 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 70.4%
Defensive zone
Thornton 76.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 79.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Krejci
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
17
(46 meetings)
29
17
Krejci
Thornton
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
11
5
Krejci
Thornton
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
14
7
Krejci
Thornton
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
5
Krejci
Thornton
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
53.5% (6,640)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
57.2% (1,387)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
56.7% (427)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Krejci shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Krejci
Thornton
Home
53.1% (5,660)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Krejci
Thornton
P1
50.7%
55.0%
P2
51.8%
53.3%
P3
50.2%
54.4%
OT
53.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | David Krejci |