Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Krejci wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 52.7% vs Thornton 57.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 63.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 83.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 72.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Krejci
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Krejci
Thornton
Last 8: Krejci 5-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
2
Krejci
Thornton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Krejci
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (534)
58.7% (722)
-6.5%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
58.5% (147)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
51.2% (86)
+2.1%
On power play, Krejci has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Krejci is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Krejci shoots right. Thornton is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Krejci
Thornton
Home
58.9% (302)
60.1% (496)
Away
47.3% (292)
55.8% (459)
By Period
Krejci
Thornton
P1
55.6%
60.4%
P2
53.6%
54.7%
P3
51.1%
58.2%
OT
36.4%
61.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
53.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 11:39 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | David Krejci |