Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 66.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 88.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Krejci
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Krejci
Tavares
Last 8: Krejci 5-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Krejci
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
57.5% (914)
-10.3%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
60.5% (309)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
59.1% (22)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Krejci
Tavares
Home
52.0% (381)
61.0% (661)
Away
42.6% (359)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Krejci
Tavares
P1
47.2%
58.6%
P2
43.7%
57.8%
P3
51.9%
58.4%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |