Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Hayes 49.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.9%
Defensive zone
Krejci 60.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Krejci
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Krejci
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Krejci
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
48.5% (557)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
53.3% (107)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
58.3% (12)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Krejci
Hayes
Home
52.0% (381)
50.8% (313)
Away
42.6% (359)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Krejci
Hayes
P1
47.2%
52.3%
P2
43.7%
47.7%
P3
51.9%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | David Krejci |