Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.1% vs Eller 52.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 53.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 80.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 71.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Krejci
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Krejci
Eller
Last 6: Krejci 5-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
0
Krejci
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,019)
53.3% (803)
-3.3%
Power Play
63.1% (130)
55.8% (86)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
50.0% (90)
-4.2%
On power play, Krejci has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Krejci is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (789).
Krejci shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Krejci
Eller
Home
53.7% (648)
52.8% (525)
Away
48.2% (560)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Krejci
Eller
P1
50.4%
53.9%
P2
50.6%
54.8%
P3
52.6%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | David Krejci |