Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Eller 53.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 73.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.5%
Result
David Krejci favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Krejci
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Krejci
Eller
Last 6: Krejci 3-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
1
Krejci
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Krejci
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
53.8% (865)
-6.6%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
57.1% (21)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
52.6% (137)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Krejci
Eller
Home
52.0% (381)
56.4% (486)
Away
42.6% (359)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Krejci
Eller
P1
47.2%
55.1%
P2
43.7%
55.3%
P3
51.9%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | David Krejci |